RBI To Hold Rates As Inflation Rises, Even In Recession: Poll
The Reserve Bank of India will keep rates on hold until early next year in a delicate balancing act between curbing high inflation and lifting the economy from its worst recession on record, a Reuters poll of economists showed. August inflation, at 6.69 per cent, held above the top end of the RBI’s medium-term target range of 2-6 per cent for the fifth consecutive month amid supply disruptions, while coronavirus infections spread in India at the fastest pace anywhere in the world. The central bank held its main repo rate at 4.0 per cent at its meeting last month and said it would keep policy accommodative to support an economy which nosedived 23.9 per cent last quarter, the weakest performance on record. All 66 respondents expected no change at the September 29-October 1 meeting and the consensus showed rates would remain on hold in December, according to the poll which was conducted over the last few days. That compared with a quarter-point cut in the fourth quarter predicted a m...